![]() Such global impacts can also trickle into California, as import and export markets in South America, Indonesia and other parts of the world can be affected by El Niño. Insurance losses will be high, and changes in banking and interest rates in response to those effects are possible. Already, NWS forecasts for the next three months favor above-normal temperatures over the western United States and many other parts of the country.Ĭlimate & Environment Scientists take flight to map California’s vast snowpack and measure flooding threatsįlying over the Sierra Nevada, teams are using lasers to measure California’s vast snowpack, tracking flood risks as the snow melts.īut while the system will influence weather and climate patterns across the world, it will also have knock-on effects for myriad industries including energy, metals, agriculture and transportation, he said. ![]() It is also not a coincidence that Earth’s hottest year on record, 2016, was an El Niño year, he said. The costs are much larger than previous estimates, he said, and reflect the ways in which economies endure persistent depressions for several years after El Niño events. Median losses from the incoming event could be at least $3 trillion by 2029, said Mankin, one of the lead authors of the study. The 1982-83 El Niño contributed to an estimated $4.1 trillion in global income losses in the five years that followed, and the 1997-98 El Niño contributed to an estimated $5.7 trillion in losses, according to a study published Thursday in the journal Science. Indeed, El Niño has historic implications for a variety of sectors, including the economy. We need to be prepared.”Ĭalifornia Climate change is increasing the frequency and temperature of extreme heat wavesĮxtreme heat waves such as the one that hit the Pacific Northwest last year may be 20 times more likely to occur if carbon emissions are not reduced. “This will have far-reaching repercussions for health, food security, water management and the environment. “A warming El Niño is expected to develop in the coming months and this will combine with human-induced climate change to push global temperatures into uncharted territory,” WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas said in a statement. The WMO predicts that there is a 98% likelihood that at least one of the next five years, and the five-year period as a whole, will be the warmest on record. (The Paris Agreement of 2015 established 1.5 degrees Celsius as the global goal for avoiding the worst effects of greenhouse gas emissions and human-caused climate change.) There is a 66% likelihood that the annual average near-surface global temperature will surge beyond 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels at least once between 20, the agency said. ![]() The report came only days after the World Meteorological Organization released its own outlook, which found that in the next five years, worldwide temperatures are likely to surpass record levels due to heat-trapping greenhouse gases and the incoming El Niño. The rare ‘triple dip’ of La Niña was the first time in the 21st century the system appeared three years in a row. California Odds of El Niño returning to California are increasing. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
Details
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |